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Tracking the Emerging Beast Power
EU is increasingly perceived
worldwide as a global player
Famagusta Gazette
EU recognized as world power.
International opinion survey: US experiences dramatic loss of stature -
Rapidly growing awareness of environmental threats - EU recognized as
world power
The European Union is increasingly perceived all over the world as a
global power, and is anticipated to play a major role on the
international stage in 2020 after the US, China and Russia. The USīs
superpower image is fading, while China and Russia have risen enormously
in stature.
| EU recognized as world power. |
There was a spike in many parts of the world in people's awareness of
the dangers of climate change and environmental devastation. Climate
protection and poverty are currently seen as the most important tasks
facing international policy makers. These are some of the findings of a
worldwide opinion poll conducted by the German foundation, the
Bertelsmann Stiftung.
According to the poll, the European Union already enjoys the reputation
of a global player, and was ranked fifth on average by all international
respondents. This picture improves for the Europeans as time goes on.
When asked which nations and organizations would be global powers in
2020, every third person mentioned the EU. On the other hand, the US
lost its undisputed leadership position.
While 81% of people would still call the US a world power today, only
61% expect it to retain this position into 2020. Once again, China,
India and - more recently - Russia have greatly boosted their own
profiles as global players. Wit h a 57% response rate, China was
mentioned almost as frequently as the US as a future superpower.
They were followed further down by Russia with 37%, the EU with 33%,
Japan with 33% and India with 29%.
Compared to the United Nations, the EU is perceived as a very strong
player in global politics.
This applies in all countries surveyed except India, where the UN has a
higher standing. And in China, the perception of the EU as a world power
rose significantly - by 15 percentage points in the past two years.
When asked if their own country should cooperate more closely with the
EU, the vast majority of the international respondents - 74 % on average
- said yes. This desire is particularly strong in China and Russia,
where stronger ties with the EU are favoured by 98% and 91% of
respondents, respectively. In the US, these numbers were 78%, in Brazil
70%, in India 68% and in Japan 48%.
Recent years have seen a shift in perceptions of what challenges face
the world and what goals global players should work towards. For
example, in almost all the countries surveyed, awareness of
environmental threats skyrocketed, while dangers such as global
terrorism were viewed as less urgent. Awareness of environmental
problems has risen more than 10 percentage points worldwide since 2005.
The percentage of people who viewed climate change and environmental
devastation as global threats rose in all countries surveyed, but
especially in the US (+22 percentage points), China (+17 percentage
points) and Japan (+16 percentage points). On average, 54% of all people
viewed environmental destruction as the most important threat.
Only in Russia (31%) and India (28%) did a minority of the population
view this problem as a major threat. At the same time, the perceived
significance of global terrorism showed no change compared to two years
ago. The other key challenges cit ed by respondents were poverty and
overpopulation, war, resource scarcity, and religious conflicts and
fundamentalism.
What global threats predominate in people's views varies considerably
from country to country. In India, poverty and overpopulation are
mentioned most often, while Russians cite the dangers of war, the
Chinese resource scarcity and the French religious fundamentalism.
Summarizing the study, Josef Janning, Head of International Relations at
the Bertelsmann Stiftung, noted, "People's future expectations hold
enormous sway over policymaking. All over the world, people see the US
losing its dominant position and China gaining ground. However, they
donīt expect the kind of harmonious, balanced world order you might
expect from a global government run by the United Nations.
Instead, in almost every country, people plan to rely on their own
strength in global competition and want their own countries to play
larger roles in spreading peace and stability. If this perspective and
expectation takes hold in global politics, we may see a resurgence of
the sort of nationalistic brinkmanship between current and future global
powers that we experienced so disastrously in 20th century Europe.
However, the threat of climate change appears to be encouraging greater
political cooperation at the international level."
Gallup International/TNS-EMNID, an opinion research firm, recently
questioned 9,000 people in the US, Russia, Brazil, China, India, Japan,
Germany, France and the UK for the Bertelsmann Stiftung study. As a
benchmark, the findings were compared with a similar Bertelsmann
Stiftung survey from 2005.
The results of the world power survey were presented at the second
meeting of the Bertelsmann Stiftungīs Global Policy Council in Berlin.
The council brings together high-calibre experts from various fields and
regions to analyze t he challenges and opportunities inherent in the
dynamics of globalization, the rise of new powers and the emergence of
new security risks.
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